Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.803501 3.355039 3.972027 4.711241 5.570564 6.535678 7.699251
2025-11-09 1.921156 2.594435 3.428866 4.530457 5.936814 7.661545 9.924817
2025-11-16 1.457500 2.177821 3.149373 4.536647 6.444015 8.948328 12.453717
2025-11-23 1.150914 1.878875 2.935247 4.547567 6.905870 10.180700 15.010592
2025-11-30 0.919484 1.627384 2.724794 4.501986 7.246234 11.246035 17.414423
2025-12-07 0.712320 1.363471 2.438964 4.281078 7.273165 11.833249 19.157985
2025-12-14 0.587662 1.207760 2.292001 4.243764 7.557601 12.807193 21.539474
2025-12-21 0.492805 1.083476 2.173052 4.227093 7.859427 13.819518 24.051253
2025-12-28 0.450940 1.050542 2.208164 4.477029 8.627783 15.639521 27.992407
2026-01-04 0.399629 0.987224 2.174797 4.594171 9.170898 17.125385 31.496452
2026-01-11 0.363522 0.948356 2.181337 4.783645 9.858055 18.906325 35.625907
2026-01-18 0.315141 0.871341 2.097510 4.783155 10.187821 20.083130 38.795552
2026-01-25 0.258893 0.764215 1.935143 4.607003 10.172861 20.660421 40.994613
2026-02-01 0.212933 0.671315 1.787559 4.439658 10.154053 21.225978 43.216751
2026-02-08 0.185386 0.619972 1.725985 4.448829 10.490961 22.484051 46.803903
2026-02-15 0.162008 0.574230 1.669547 4.460530 10.831714 23.773143 50.538948
2026-02-22 0.139366 0.524512 1.594015 4.416027 11.044164 24.821737 53.881721
2026-03-01 0.113132 0.455804 1.455762 4.198979 10.848233 25.024534 55.574040
2026-03-08 0.097762 0.418101 1.394008 4.162332 11.055173 26.069966 59.017294
2026-03-15 0.085230 0.386436 1.343184 4.145954 11.306022 27.224547 62.758023
2026-03-22 0.081854 0.387541 1.388784 4.391630 12.207008 29.840408 69.689514
2026-03-29 0.075086 0.373672 1.386613 4.506784 12.800353 31.825809 75.419142
2026-04-05 0.070659 0.367935 1.408891 4.693052 13.587950 34.295691 82.327486